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National Election Commission Announced Nine-Month Delay of Presidential Elections

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In their first press statement since sworn in, the new National Election Commission has announced that the constitutionally mandated presidential elections scheduled for November 13th will be delayed. The Commission stated that elections will be held in nine months starting on October 1st, and cited time, technical and financial constraints as the reason for the delaying.

The selections, confirmation by parliament, and swearing-in of the new National Election Commissioners have dragged on for months and were completed on September 7th, 2022. The previous Election Commission, led by Mr. Abdirashid Riyoraac, dissolved following a dispute among the commissioners and an accusation of corruption that prompted an investigation by the Auditor General’s Office. 

The opposition has accused President Bihi of orchestrating the disbandment of the election commission to ensure elections are not held on time. President Bihi has countered the opposition’s accusation that the delay was caused by opposition members of parliament who failed to confirm replacement commissioners

The opposition parties of Waddani and UCID have welcomed the statement from the Election Commission, although they have in the past opposed presidential term extension and staged protests where at least six civilians were killed and scores injured. It is unclear if the argument of which election, presidential or national political parties, comes first is settled between the President and the leaders of the opposition parties.

President Bihi has argued that the new parties currently amid registration are the only ones eligible to take part in Presidential Elections, whereas the opposition parties have argued that the President is trying to eliminate the current opposition parties and that the presidential elections come first.

Earlier this week, Members of Parliament approved a motion to amend the election laws Number 91/2022 and Number 14. The amendment ratified the combination of presidential and political party elections where the presidential elections will be participated by Waddani, UCID, and the ruling party of Kulmiye and the other parallel election will decide which of the new or existing parties will qualify as a national political party. Somaliland law stipulates that only three political parties can exist for a term of ten years. It is unclear if the Senate and President will approve the proposed amendment to codify it into law.

The National Election Commission’s statement that it cannot hold the presidential elections on November 13th, 2022 paves the way for the Somaliland Senate, which has the constitutional power to extend the presidential term to start deliberation and approve term extension for President Muse Bihi Abdi. In the past, the Senate has ignored the extension period recommended by the Election Commission and has given past Presidents two-year term extensions. This will be the sixth time presidential elections are delayed in Somaliland.

Despite the normalization of election delays and pitched political disputes in election season, Somaliland has earned high praises for its ability to hold one-person, one-vote elections and peaceful transfers of power. It is unclear if the latest delays in presidential elections and continued political jostling will effect in its quest for international recognition.

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Dishonest Broker – Why Turkey Will Not Run Somaliland – Somalia Talks

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On December 28, 2018, Turkey named its former Ambassador to Somalia Dr. Olgan Bekar as a Special Envoy for Somalia and Somaliland Talks. Thought the former Ambassador to Somalia has had limited contact with the Government of Somaliland especially President Bihi’s current administration, he known to be very comfortable in navigating the political scene in Mogadishu.

In this report, we are examining Turkey’s history in Somaliland and Somalia and their role as mediators in the past talks.

Dr. Olgan Bekar, Turkey’s Special Envoy for Somaliland – Somalia with President Muse Bihi Abdi

Turkey is not the only country interested to have Somaliland and Somalia get back to the negotiating table and reach some sort of a settlement.

The topic has come up during President Muse Bihi Abdi’s meeting with the Ethiopian Prime Minister in Addis Ababa this week though it is unclear the extent to which they discussed the subject or if any concrete steps to get the two sides talking were agreed upon.

Somaliland and Ethiopian leaders meeting in Addis Ababa

It is important to understand that various stake holders have different expected outcomes of such talks and Somaliland might be the odd man out as it seeks to gain an amicable completion of its divorce from Somalia.

According to statement from Somaliland Presidency following President Bihi’s meeting with the new envoy Dr. Bekar on February 9, The President informed Dr. Bekar and the Turkish delegation that since past talks has not yielded any results all future dialogue between Somaliland and Somalia must include the international community.

Sources from Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation present in the meeting with the President and the Turkish delegation stated that President Bihi also informed the Turkish envoy that bringing a level of balance in how Turkey invests in Somalia and Somaliland is a good way to show Somaliland that Turkey is impartial and a friend to Somaliland.

To understand if Turkey can be an impartial and an honest broker on Somaliland and Somalia talks and its general standing in the world community, we have spoken to Mr. Michael Rubin who is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, where he researches Arab politics, the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran, Iraq, the Kurds, terrorism, and Turkey.

President Bihi with Michael Rubin and Presidential Economic Advisor Dr. Osman Sh Ahmed

Somaliland Chronicle: Do you think it is wise for Somaliland to accept Turkey as a mediator in Somalia talks given the Turkish Gov support and massive investment in Somalia?

Mr. Rubin: Turkey does not have a track-record as an honest broker, and President Erdoğan has an ideological agenda which does not value Somaliland’s democracy and security. It is crucial to broaden any such mediation beyond a single country.

Somaliland Chronicle: In your latest article you wrote about Turkish support for terrorism and specifically for Al-Shabaab. What is Turkey’s reasoning for supporting Al-Shabaab?

Mr. Rubin: There is no single international definition of terrorism, and so Turkey often says it is combating terrorism, but denies groups like Al-Shabaab in Somalia or Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb in Mali are terrorists. Erdoğan’s goal is a more Islamist order. His fault, though, is confusing some Islamist movements with Islam itself.

Somaliland Chronicle: President Bihi recently met with a Turkish Envoy in charge of the Somaliland/Somalia talks, do you see any value in having Turkey to mediate or be part of those talks?

Mr. Rubin: Certainly, there is value in consultation with Turkey, as Turkey retains a diplomatic presence in both Somalia and Somaliland. President Bihi is correct, however, to seek a broader mediation rather than reliance on a single country.

As President Bihi informed the Turkish delegation, there is an imbalance in how Turkey provides and and invests in Somaliland and Somalia. Let’s break down what Turkey so far done in is to Somalia:


Turkey in Somalia

Security Influence

Turkey is Somalia’s true patron state, one of its most expensive efforts is to rebuild the Somali National Army from scratch and in its own image.

The largest military force in Somalia is of course AMISOM but Turkey’s military presence dwarfs that of any individual country in the AMISOM troops stationed in Somalia. In fact, Turkey’s largest military installation outside of Turkey is in Mogadishu.

Dr. Olgan Bekar with Somalia’s Prime Minister Hassan Khaire.

The 1.5 square mile Turkish military training installation is capable of churning out 1,500 fully trained and equipped soldiers at a time. This is according to Turkish and Somali sources familiar with the facility.

Below is a tweet from Turkish Embassy in Somalia showing images of Somali military personnel being trained in Turkey.

While Turkey rates as the 18th largest military in expenditure globally, it has a fledgling arms industry and rebuilding the Somali National Army represents a lucrative opportunity to supply it with the equipment it is manufacturing.

According to a recent VOA report, in what seems to be a clear violation of the United Nations Security Council’s weapons embargo on Somalia, Turkey has been supplying armament to units of the Somali National Army it has been training.

Economic Influence

Since September 21, 2014 Albayrak Group has been operating the Mogadishu Port on a 20 year concession where the company takes 45% of all revenues from the port.

Public records show that Albayrak Group does not have a track record in managing world class ports, besides Mogadishu Port, it also manages and the Trabzon Port in the Black Sea on Turkey’s Northern border with Georgia.

Compared to Albayrak Group and the 2 ports it manages, DP World manages about 77 marine and inland terminals including Somaliland’s Berbera Port.

Other Turkish conglomerates such Enez-İnşaat and Kozuva Group are also active in Mogadishu.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport has been managed by a Kozuva subsidiery, Favori Airports LLC,since September 2013.

Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport

Here is the Somali Prime Minister Mr. Hassan Khaire thanking Qatar for funding road networks between Mogadishu, Afgoye and Jawhar and also thanking the Turkish Government, presumably Enez-İnşaat who according to him have “won” the contract to build said roads.

Turkey bills itself as Somalia’s rescuer and multiple visits by Erdoğan to Somalia especially in what is considered a relatively difficult time for the Somali people were designed to convey that exact message but economically, Turkey stands to gain more from Somalia and Mogadishu than it lets on.

Image result for erdogan visits mogadishu
Erdoğan and his wife in Mogadishu.

According to some estimates, the most profitable route in Turkish Airlines is the Mogadishu – Ankara route. And aside from the large visible projects, there are tens of thousands of Turkish citizens living and working in Mogadishu.

Despite the obvious economic gains Turkey is making in Somalia, it is gearing up to do even more business in that war-torn country.

Getting involved in one of the least stable country in the world, Turkey is employing the concept of first mover advantage. This means less competition from the Chinese and other actors vying for influence in Africa.

Turkey heavy bet on Somalia and specifically Mogadishu is yielding economic results for Turkey beyond what Erdoğan has expected. In fact, Turkey’s largest embassy in the world is not where you would expect, like Washington DC, Brussels or Berlin, it is in Mogadishu, Somalia.

One of the most attractive features of Turkey’s patronage of Somalia is it is non-interference posture in Somalia’s domestic politics. It is worth nothing that Somalia ranked lowest in global corruption index and any country that is willing to look the other way is a welcome reprieve from the usual admonishment for President Farmajo’s weak administration.

Turkey in Somaliland

The most visible contribution of Turkey to Somaliland is a recent 216 medical machines donated by TIKA, the Turkish aid agency to Hargeisa Group Hospital.

Although this particular instance has been widely publicized by TIKA, Somaliland Chronicle has been unable to locate anything of note done in Somaliland either by Turkish Government or it is aid agency TIKA.

There are, however, multiple unfulfilled pledges by the Turkish Government in the past to help build roads in Somaliland according to multiple former and current Somaliland Government officials. None of these pledges have materialized.

One thing of note is that Turkey has been particularly adept in dangling a carrot of aid and development or simply inviting them to Istanbul on a whirlwind of meetings and tours to get them to buy into the importance of Somaliland and Somalia talks.

No other country has put so much effort to try to mediate Somaliland and Somalia as much as Turkey. In fact, this might be the only thing Turkey has done in Somaliland. There were many rounds of talks that hosted by the Turks in the past and personally supervised by President Erdoğan himself, unfortunately, these talks have been a disaster for Somaliland.

Turkey’s obsession with Somaliland is rooted in the simple fact that the rift between Gulf states of UAE and Saudi Arabia on one side and Qatar, Turkey and Iran on one side has been playing out in Somaliland and Somalia.

Image result for somaliland dpworld signing
President of Somaliland HE Muse Bihi Abdi and DP World CEO Mr. Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem

The United Arab Emirates base in Berbera and DP World managing the Port gives the UAE and its ally Saudi Arabia an advantage and a foothold in the strategic 850 kilometers of Red Sea coastline with a direct access to Bab Al-mandab.

Turkey and Qatar has been spending heavily in trying to unseat the Emirates from both the military base and the Berbera Port by mobilizing the Somali government to oppose these deals. Additionally, Turkey has been advancing particular talking points that have been seeping into public discourse in Somaliland such as the importance of Somaliland – Somalia talks, the ramifications of hosting a foreign army in Somaliland via the UAE base and the deterioration of service at the Berbera Port. These same exact talking points are parroted by many civil organizations and opposition parties in Somaliland.

Somaliland has repeatedly signaled it’s willingness to talk to Somalia but its demand for the international community including the United States, United Kingdom and the European Union to get involved and President Bihi’s impossible task for the Turks to raise their level of support for Somaliland to something comparable to Somalia’s almost guarantees that Turkey’s role will be a lot smaller in future dialogue between the two countries.

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Congressman Rose Raises Somaliland Bill at Treasury Hearing as President Meets Legislators

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WASHINGTON — Rep. John Rose pressed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on his Republic of Somaliland financial-access legislation during a House Financial Services Committee hearing on September 15, hours after hosting President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi in his Capitol Hill office.

Rose, a Tennessee Republican, introduced H.R. 7993, the Somaliland Economic Access and Opportunity Act, on March 19 with original cosponsors Reps. Andy Ogles (R-Tenn.) and Pat Harrigan (R-N.C.); Rep. Addison McDowell (R-N.C.) later joined. The measure remains before the Financial Services Committee, neither marked up nor scheduled for a vote.

The bill’s scope is deliberately narrow. It directs the Treasury secretary to submit, within 180 days of enactment, a report identifying the legal, regulatory, and policy barriers that limit Somaliland’s access to the U.S. financial system. The report must assess compliance with Know Your Customer, anti-money-laundering, and counter-terrorism-financing standards, then set out two complementary sets of recommendations: steps Somaliland authorities could take to align with IMF, World Bank, and FATF norms, and steps the United States could take, including the use of Treasury’s voice and vote at those institutions. The full text is available via GovInfo.

The legislation authorizes Treasury to engage directly with Somaliland’s Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and private banks. It does not, however, name the Bank of Somaliland — the central bank that licenses and supervises the sector and houses the Financial Intelligence Unit established under the 2019 AML/CFT Act. Any substantive review would necessarily include that institution.

In a March interview with The Algemeiner, Rose framed the bill’s purpose plainly: “What is Somaliland’s current compliance with international banking norms, things like customer and anti-money laundering, counter-terrorism financing standards, other regulatory expectations of where are they and where do they need to get to be?” He also posed the SWIFT question himself: “What steps would it take to incorporate Somaliland into the SWIFT financial messaging and payment system which would really up their game in terms of what they could hope to accomplish?”

SWIFT access is not the gap

Despite some of the rhetoric surrounding the bill, it would not place Somaliland banks on SWIFT. Institutions such as Dahabshiil Bank International and Salaam Somali Bank already hold SWIFT Bank Identifier Codes, registered under Somalia’s “SO” country code because Somaliland lacks an ISO code of its own. SWIFT is a Belgian private cooperative beyond the reach of Congress; the United States has no authority to grant, withhold, or reassign a BIC.

The genuine constraint is correspondent banking — the network of nostro and vostro accounts through which banks clear and settle dollar transactions via partners in New York or elsewhere. A BIC permits the transmission of payment messages; it moves no funds without a correspondent relationship behind it. That relationship is a private commercial decision driven by each bank’s compliance-risk assessment. It is this barrier, not SWIFT membership, that H.R. 7993 would require Treasury to examine.

In practice, the absence of reliable correspondent channels explains why most remittances still reach Somaliland through hawala networks and money-transfer operators rather than conventional bank wires. Those operators settle through internal account structures and cash logistics, and they charge accordingly. World Bank data on the Somalia corridor have historically shown costs between roughly 6 and 9 percent of the amount sent — well above both the Bank’s own 5 percent target and the United Nations’ 3 percent Sustainable Development Goal benchmark.

The hearing

Rose raised the bill during Bessent’s annual testimony on “The Annual Testimony of the Secretary of the Treasury on the State of the International Financial System.” Recognized for five minutes, Rose laid out the bill’s scope — including Somaliland’s international status, sanctions exposure, compliance with Know Your Customer and anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorism-financing standards, remittance flows, and the steps needed to bring Somaliland into the SWIFT financial messaging and payment system. He noted he had met with President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “a few moments ago,” during the president’s visit to Washington, and asked Bessent whether stronger financial ties with Somaliland could advance U.S. security and economic interests and help counter China’s growing influence in the Horn of Africa.

Bessent’s response addressed the general value of economic engagement without taking a position on the bill itself, noting that recognition questions are a State Department matter. Pressed by Rose on whether he’d support the legislation specifically, Bessent said: “I will support looking at your bill. I will have my international affairs department give me a briefing next week and then we will engage with your staff.” Asked whether Treasury had the capacity to complete the required 180-day assessment, he answered, “Yes, sir.”

Central Bank response

The Bank of Somaliland, the territory’s central bank, issued a press statement on September 16 welcoming the hearing discussion. It said Rose had drawn attention to the financial and regulatory barriers affecting Somaliland’s access to the U.S. and international financial systems, and that Secretary Bessent had indicated Treasury’s International Affairs team would brief him and engage with Rose’s staff.

The statement said the discussion builds on the bank’s ongoing engagement with U.S. institutions, noting that its governor formally wrote to the U.S. Department of the Treasury in January 2026 seeking support in addressing barriers to international payment systems, correspondent banking, and SWIFT connectivity, while outlining the bank’s continued efforts to strengthen financial integrity and AML/CFT safeguards. Greater international connectivity, the bank said, is a practical priority that could reduce the cost and friction of remittances, let businesses make international payments and access global markets, facilitate payments for students abroad, and support investment and employment.

The bank said any expansion of financial access must come with strong regulation, transparency, effective supervision, and robust safeguards against illicit finance, and that it remains committed to strengthening financial-sector supervision, AML/CFT controls, payment-system oversight, and compliance with applicable U.S. and international standards. It said it stands ready to provide the U.S. Treasury and other relevant institutions with “objective and verifiable information” on Somaliland’s financial system and to participate in any technical engagement arising from the process.

Despite recent modernization efforts, the Bank of Somaliland remains significantly underpowered relative to the private banking and mobile-money industry it is charged with supervising. Its legal authority is clear on paper, yet its practical tools — capital strength, supervisory staffing, IT systems, and enforcement capacity — lag well behind the scale and sophistication of the major operators. Critically, the bank’s own website acknowledges that it currently has no regulatory framework for mobile money services or remittance service providers, leaving the dominant digital currencies controlled by Dahabshiil (e-Dahab) and Telesom (ZAAD) — which together handle the bulk of daily transactions in Somaliland — outside its effective oversight. There is also no functional firewall between the financial systems of Somaliland and Somalia: no reliable mechanism exists to ensure that Somaliland customer data and funds remain ring-fenced and do not straddle the two jurisdictions. Compounding these structural weaknesses, the current senior leadership, including Governor Abdinasir Ahmed Hersi, consists largely of political appointees whose prior careers were in government administration and diplomacy rather than commercial or central banking. The resulting gap in both technical depth and real supervisory reach limits the institution’s ability to impose the risk-management and compliance standards that international correspondent banks routinely require.

President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi in Washington

President Abdullahi departed Hargeisa on September 3, transited the United Arab Emirates, and arrived in Washington on September 5 — his first visit to the United States since assuming office in November 2024 — accompanied by cabinet members and advisers. The presidency has framed the trip around security cooperation, investment, and the long-standing campaign for international recognition.

On September 14 he delivered a keynote at the Hudson Institute, followed by a fireside conversation with senior fellow Joshua Meservey, arguing for Somaliland’s value as a security partner along the Red Sea corridor and highlighting the Berbera port, where DP World has invested $442 million.

The following day he met a bipartisan group of lawmakers that included Rose and Rep. John Moolenaar (R-Mich.), according to the Somaliland presidency, before holding a separate office meeting with Rose. Rose posted photographs of the encounter and wrote that he was “proud to lead legislation that supports removing barriers to U.S. financial markets, which is great for both of our nations.”

Abdullahi is expected to remain in the United States for an extended period, with a diaspora engagement scheduled for September 19. He is also expected in New York during the high-level week of the UN General Assembly, though no bilateral meetings have been confirmed.

The Washington visit follows his June state visit to Israel, six months after Israel became the first UN member state to recognize the Republic of Somaliland in December 2025. Somaliland authorities have publicly welcomed H.R. 7993 since its introduction. The Trump administration has given no indication that it intends to follow Israel’s lead.

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Washington Has Heard Somaliland’s Case Before. This Time It Has to Vote.

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By Siyad Madey

President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Cirro’s arrival in Washington this month is being described by his office as a strategic conversation rather than a recognition plea. That framing is accurate. It should not obscure what the visit will actually be judged on: whether two bills already sitting in Congress move.

Start with the legal ground Cirro is standing on, because it is stronger than most of Washington realizes. Somaliland’s parliament passed its own union law on June 27, 1960. The southern assembly in Mogadishu never enacted the matching text, approving a different version “in principle” only. A presidential decree tried to paper over the gap but lapsed under the constitution’s own terms. When a proper Act of Union came before Somaliland’s electorate in 1961, more than 60 percent of northern voters rejected it. In 1991, Somaliland walked back out of a union whose legal foundation had already collapsed thirty years earlier. That history matters in any serious conversation with State Department lawyers, since the African Union’s border-preservation doctrine, the usual objection to recognition, was written for cases of secession, not for the unwinding of a merger that was never properly completed.

The security case has caught up with the legal one. Berbera sits on the Gulf of Aden side of the Bab el-Mandeb, the chokepoint the Houthis have spent two years demonstrating they can threaten at will. A shadow fleet moving sanctioned oil has been documented using Berbera’s waters. China’s base in Djibouti is a short flight away. Washington doesn’t need to sympathize with Somaliland’s cause to see the practical upside: an administration willing to sign a security framework, the kind AFRICOM once had under the lapsed Somaliland Partnership Act, gets a functioning port and a government that answers its calls, at a moment when both are in short supply along that coast.

That leaves Congress, where the argument stops being rhetorical. H.R. 7993, the Somaliland Economic Access and Opportunity Act, has sat in House Financial Services since March, and H.R. 3992, the Republic of Somaliland Independence Act, has been stuck in Foreign Affairs since June 2025, both without a committee vote. Both bills exist because members of both parties concluded, independently of this visit, that current policy toward Somaliland doesn’t match current American interests. In June, the State Department issued a report reaffirming Somalia’s territorial sovereignty over Somaliland in terms that sit uneasily next to two bills its own colleagues in the executive branch are supposed to help implement.

That contradiction, more than any photograph with a senator, is what this visit should resolve. Somaliland has spent three decades making the case that it deserves recognition on the merits: a functioning democracy, five peaceful transfers of power, a currency, a port, a track record no government in Mogadishu has matched. What Cirro needs from this trip isn’t a fresh version of that argument. It’s Washington’s own government resolving its internal disagreement about what to do with it. A White House that quietly instructs Financial Services and Foreign Affairs to schedule markups would do more for Somaliland in a week than another year of position papers would.

Cirro could come home with an itinerary of respectful meetings, or he could come home with a markup date. Getting from one to the other isn’t a matter of rhetoric. It’s a matter of procedure, and Congress has the rest of this fall to settle it.

About the Author

Siyad Madey is a Nairobi-based legal practitioner and policy analyst with over 25 years of legal, regulatory, compliance, and governance experience across East Africa and the Horn of Africa, including 15 years in senior management at the National Bank of Kenya. He is a contributing analyst to the Middle East Forum covering Horn of Africa security and Red Sea geopolitics, and his work has appeared in The Hill and The Spectator. Follow him on X at @MadeySiyad.


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Notice: This article by Somaliland Chronicle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work are permitted, provided proper attribution is given.

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Whatever Happens in Washington, Somaliland Must Prepare Legally for Recognition

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By Michael Rubin

Somaliland is independent. There is no taking that back. Seventy-five percent of Somalis were born after 1991 and have no direct memory of unity. Over those 35 years, Somaliland developed national institutions and a democratic culture; Somalis, however, remain mired in corruption, violence, and extremism. As Somaliland fiercely defends its sovereignty, Somali Presidents Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo and Hassan Sheikh Mohamud have, for personal profit, made Somalia a de facto colony whose resources and waters Turkey can exploit. Deputy Secretary of State Chris Landau may try to reverse and reject Somaliland sovereignty, but he lives in a fantasy world: Somalilanders will no more rejoin Somalia than Ukrainians will rejoin Russia.

While President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro and his delegation visits the United States to advance Somaliland’s cause in Washington and among international delegations at the United Nations General Assembly in New York, Somaliland’s parliament must do more to prepare Somaliland’s legal code to conform with major international treaties and conventions. Somaliland cannot accede to treaties prior to its recognition by the United Nations as a member state if other member-states object—and Somalia, Turkey, and China certainly will. Still, Hargeisa can both signal to the world its seriousness and commitment to rule-of-law and also distinguish itself from Mogadishu if Somaliland’s parliament endorses conventions and treaties that Somalia has joined.

For example, Somalia has not joined the UN Convention against Transnational Organized Crime, the so-called Palermo Convention, which criminalizes human trafficking and migrant smuggling. Somaliland already fights such smuggling, but declaring its conformity with the Convention would give it the international credit it deserves at no cost to Somaliland’s sovereignty nor would it run afoul of the conservative elements in Somali society.

Somalia is also not a member of the Hague Conference on Private International Law. Again, joining many of these Hague Conventions would be common-sense, as they represent responsibilities of almost every mainstream state. For example, the Somaliland parliament could endorse the Hague Service Convention which enables the serving of legal documents from abroad into Somaliland. The Hague Evidence Convention allows investigators to take evidence abroad. The Hague Apostille Convention regularizes the authenticating of public documents. The Hague Child Abduction Convention requires the signatories’ cooperation returning children kidnapped by a parent who did not have full custody. While some religious conservatives might object to this, their religious arguments are undercut by the fact that many other majority Muslim states—from Bosnia to Burkina Faso—have joined.

Somalia likewise has not joined the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court that allows the Court to try genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and crimes of aggression. With war criminals from the Isaaq genocide still sheltered in Somalia, the notion that Somalia will join is fantasy, and so Somaliland can distinguish itself. Somali pundits can argue that the United States has also not joined the Rome Statute, Washington’s objections have more to deal with sovereignty concerns against the backdrop of cynical anti-Americanism. Somaliland has more to gain than lose by declaring its intention to join the International Criminal Court on day one of its United Nations accession.

Somaliland’s parliament can also affirm its intention to join separately those treaties like the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea to which Somalia is a member. This is important because Somali treaty memberships would not migrate with recognition of Somaliland’s ‘secession’ from Somalia. The Clinton administration set out this stance when, against the backdrop of Quebec’s 1995 referendum to become independent, he issued talking points to U.S. diplomats countering Quebecois separatist leaders like Jacques Parizeau and Lucien Bouchard who had argued that an independent Quebec would also be a member of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). The same standard has held true for potential Scottish secession and the status of tripartite Turkey-Syria-Iraq water sharing deals should Kurdistan become independent.

Somaliland should be proud of its parliament. While its elections must be more regular, parliamentarians must think about more than minor tweaks of the existing legal code and more about which treaties Somaliland will join, and ensuring the domestic law makes this possible on day one. Indeed, by doing so, Somaliland can show even its critics that it is more serious and has greater capacity than any other aspirant states, from the Palestinians to the Kurds to New Caledonia’s Kanaks.

About the Author

Michael Rubin is director of policy analysis at the Middle East Forum and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

A former Pentagon official, Dr. Rubin has lived in post-revolution Iran, Yemen, and both pre- and postwar Iraq. He also spent time with the Taliban before 9/11. For more than a decade, he taught classes at sea about the Horn of Africa and Middle East conflicts, culture, and terrorism, to deployed US Navy and Marine units.

Dr. Rubin is the author, coauthor, and coeditor of several books exploring diplomacy, Iranian history, Arab culture, Kurdish studies, and Shi’ite politics, including “Seven Pillars: What Really Causes Instability in the Middle East?” (AEI Press, 2019); “Kurdistan Rising” (AEI Press, 2016); “Dancing with the Devil: The Perils of Engaging Rogue Regimes” (Encounter Books, 2014); and “Eternal Iran: Continuity and Chaos” (Palgrave, 2005).

Dr. Rubin has a PhD and an MA in history from Yale University, where he also obtained a BS in biology.

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A Friend’s Warning, a State’s Opportunity: Rethinking Somaliland’s Washington Strategy

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By Dr. Abdirahman Gaas

Michael Rubin’s recent article, Somaliland’s Delegation is Sending the Wrong Message to Washington,” deserves serious consideration. Not because every conclusion he reaches must be accepted, but because countries seeking stronger international partnerships should listen carefully when longstanding friends raise uncomfortable questions.

His central concern is that Somaliland has built considerable political goodwill in Washington through its relative stability, democratic competition, security cooperation, strategic geography, and broadly pro-Western orientation, but that an oversized or insufficiently focused presidential delegation could weaken that capital by projecting domestic political accommodation rather than strategic discipline.

There is merit in this warning. But the question is larger than whether Somaliland should send five officials or nineteen.

The Real Issue Is Strategic Coherence

Diplomacy is about signaling.

A delegation communicates before negotiations begin. Its composition signals priorities, authority, preparation, and purpose. Rubin is therefore right to caution against turning an important presidential visit into a collection of disconnected ministerial agendas.

Yet delegation alone is a weak measure of diplomatic competence. Governments frequently travel with political, technical, security, and commercial teams. The real distinction is between a strategically organized delegation and an uncoordinated one.

Somaliland should therefore focus less on numerical limits and more on mission design. A small presidential negotiating team can handle the most sensitive political engagements, while other officials work through clearly defined tracks for the less critical but strategic engagements.

The President does not need every official beside him in every meeting. But additional officials are not automatically unnecessary either if each has a specific mandate. The essential question is therefore not how many people are traveling. It is: What is each person traveling to achieve?

Every member should be able to answer three questions: Why am I going? Whom am I meeting? What measurable outcome am I responsible for? If those questions cannot be answered, Rubin’s criticism becomes difficult to dismiss.

The Pahlavi Comparison Has Limits

Rubin compares President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Irro” with Iranian opposition figure Reza Pahlavi. The comparison is rhetorically powerful, but analytically limited.

President Irro is not an aspirant seeking to prove his readiness to govern. He is the elected president of a political entity that has governed itself for more than three decades and maintains functioning institutions.

Somaliland’s challenge is therefore different.

It must demonstrate that Somaliland itself is a credible, reliable, and strategically valuable partner. This distinction matters because Somaliland’s case must become increasingly institutional rather than personality-driven.

Presidents change. Ministers change. Governments change. A serious Somaliland-U.S. relationship must survive all of them.

Indeed, one of Somaliland’s strongest arguments is that political leadership has changed repeatedly while the institutions of the state have endured.

From Recognition Advocacy to Strategic Bargaining

For more than three decades, Somaliland’s international case has been largely normative:

We restored our sovereignty in 1991. We built peace through locally driven processes. We established functioning institutions, conducted competitive elections, maintained relative stability, and occupied an important strategic location. Therefore, the international community should address Somaliland’s case for recognition.

This argument has considerable historical and political weight.

But international politics does not operate on virtue alone. States act where principles, interests, and strategic opportunities intersect. Somaliland, therefore, needs to move from recognition advocacy toward strategic bargaining.

The question should increasingly become not only why the United States should recognize or engage Somaliland, but what concrete strategic interests the United States and Somaliland can pursue together.

This is particularly important in a changing Red Sea and Horn of Africa environment shaped by maritime insecurity, competition over ports and access, terrorism, Gulf engagement, Chinese influence, Ethiopia’s search for diversified trade corridors, and wider geopolitical competition. Somaliland should position itself within these debates.

What Should Somaliland Take to Washington?

Somaliland should arrive with a small number of propositions rather than a long list of projects.

The first should be Red Sea and Gulf of Aden security. Berbera lies within one of the world’s most strategically sensitive maritime environments. Instability around Yemen, Bab el-Mandeb, and the southern Red Sea increases the value of reliable partners along the African coast.

The second should be counterterrorism and intelligence cooperation. Somaliland’s stability should not simply be presented as an achievement deserving international praise. It should be presented as a strategic asset that can contribute to regional security.

The third should be a commercial and geoeconomic partnership. Berbera Port, the Berbera Economic Zone, and the corridor toward Ethiopia give Somaliland potential importance in logistics, trade diversification, and regional connectivity.

The fourth should be political reliability. Somaliland’s democratic competition, relationship with Taiwan, cooperation with the UAE, and willingness to work with Western partners distinguish it within an increasingly contested region.

Learning From Friends

There is also a broader lesson in Rubin’s intervention.

Somaliland should value international scholars, policymakers, diplomats, and analysts who have defended its achievements and supported stronger international engagement.

But friendship should never mean permanent agreement. A serious political community must distinguish between hostility and constructive criticism. Criticism from friends can be uncomfortable and sometimes wrong. But it can still expose weaknesses before competitors or opponents exploit them.

The appropriate response to Rubin is therefore neither a personal attack nor an automatic acceptance. It is to ask: What part of this criticism can strengthen Somaliland’s diplomacy? That is how politically mature states engage their friends.

A Somaliland That Knows Its Value

Somaliland’s greatest diplomatic risk is not whether nineteen officials board an aircraft.

The greater risk is arriving in Washington without a unified understanding of what Somaliland wants from the United States, what the United States may realistically want from Somaliland, and where those interests intersect.

Geography alone does not create influence.

The real challenge is whether Somaliland can convert geography into geopolitical value, geopolitical value into diplomatic leverage, and diplomatic leverage into durable institutional relationships. That is the political economy of recognition.

Michael Rubin is right that appearances matter, preparation matters, and amateurism would be costly at such an important moment.

But Somaliland should take the argument further. The objective is not merely to send a smaller delegation. The objective is to build a more strategic state.

A successful Washington visit should demonstrate a Somaliland that understands its national interests, coordinates its institutions, listens confidently to constructive criticism, negotiates from its strengths, and approaches the United States not primarily as a petitioner, but as a partner capable of contributing to shared strategic interests.

That would be the strongest response to Michael Rubin’s concern, and a more convincing demonstration of the political maturity Somaliland wants the wider international community to recognize.

About the Author

Dr. Abdirahman Gaas is a Somaliland scholar, academic, political analyst, and political economist whose work focuses on governance, geopolitics, regional integration, and democratic development in the Horn of Africa. He lectures on geopolitics and governance at the University of Hargeisa. Dr. Gaas holds a PhD in Sustainable Development and Diplomacy, and his research interests include state-building, political institutions, economic corridors, regional cooperation, and the changing geopolitical dynamics of the Horn of Africa.


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A Press Conference Before a Plane Ticket: What President Abdirahman Cirro Owes Somaliland

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Mohamed Hussein Jama (Raambo), MP

For more than three decades, our people have built peace, democratic institutions, competitive elections, and peaceful transfers of power in one of the world’s most volatile regions. These achievements reflect the unwavering commitment and determination of Somalilanders to build a democratic nation.

We have every reason to be proud of that record. Somaliland’s democratic culture remains rare in the Horn of Africa, stands out in East Africa and compares favourably with many countries across the continent. It is not only a source of national pride; it is one of our greatest diplomatic assets and one of our strongest arguments for international recognition.

As a Somaliland Member of Parliament, I want President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi’s visit to the United States to succeed, and I have every reason to support it. International recognition is a shared national objective, pursued by all Somaliland political parties, and it must remain above partisan political differences.

I want Washington to understand why a stable and democratic Somaliland can be a valuable American partner in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea. But the democratic values we proudly present abroad must also be protected at home.

Nearly two years into his presidency, President Abdullahi has yet to hold a genuinely open press conference at which independent journalists can question him about his government and, more importantly, where he intends to take the country.

According to the Somaliland Journalists Association (SOLJA), 46 journalists have been arrested during the first 22 months of this administration, an average of more than two journalists every month.

And now, as the President departs for the United States, prominent poet Ismail Jiheeye remains in detention after publicly raising allegations concerning a dispute over his property. A journalist who interviewed him has also been detained. Both are being held without charges.

Whatever the merits of the underlying land dispute, criticism of a President, a poem or a journalist’s interview should be answered through open debate and due process, not detention. A democratically elected president should not use the power of the state against a critic or anyone with whom he is involved in a private dispute. Public office must never be used to settle personal disputes or silence criticism.

This is precisely the contradiction Somaliland must confront.

How can we ask the democratic world to value our credentials while journalists, writers and critics are detained at home?

There is another issue the President cannot leave behind when he boards the plane for Washington: growing public concern about corruption and unexplained wealth among some government officials. Somalilanders have even coined a phrase for it: “G+1”, a sarcastic reference to houses and buildings allegedly constructed by officials after taking office.

Public suspicion is not proof of guilt. But widespread allegations deserve answers, independent investigation and transparency. Where credible allegations exist, investigate them. Where officials are innocent, clear their names. Where wrongdoing is established, hold those responsible accountable.

There is also the matter of the President’s frequent, unexplained trips abroad, often last for weeks. Taxpayers fund these journeys and are entitled to know their purpose on why such extended stays are necessary, and what public benefit they deliver. The president therefore has an obligation to explain his extended visits to the United Arab Emirates and elsewhere.

We must remember that this is a poor country with one of the highest maternal mortality rates in the world. Public money should be spent where it matters most, not toward luxury hotels in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Nairobi.

Mr President, you have now travelled to the United States without explaining how long the trip will last, how much it will cost taxpayers, or what it is intended to achieve. The public has a right to know.

Mr. President, there is a simple step you can take.

Hold a real press conference. Invite Somaliland’s independent journalists. Do not pre-select their questions. You are, thus far, the only president in Somaliland’s history who has never held a press conference. This is not a distinction you want on your record. You were elected by the public and you are accountable to them.

Let journalists ask about the economy. Let them ask you about corruption and G+1. Let them ask about the 46 journalists your administration arrested. Let them ask about Ismail Jiheeye. Let them ask about your appointments, your foreign policy, your travels and where you intend to take this country.

And answer them with your hand on your heart.

Some questions will be uncomfortable. That is not a threat to democracy. That is democracy.

Then go to Washington and make Somaliland’s case strongly.

Tell US policymakers that Somaliland believes in freedom of expression after demonstrating it at home. Tell them we believe in accountability after submitting your own administration to scrutiny. Tell them Somaliland’s democracy is not merely an argument we deploy in foreign capitals, but a principle we practise within our own borders.

Those of us who raise these concerns do so not because we want Washington to think less of Somaliland, but because we want Somaliland’s democratic story to remain credible by the time it reaches Washington.

Mr. President, go to Washington and make Somaliland’s case. But before you tell Washington about our democracy, demonstrate it at home.

About the Author

Mohamed Hussein Jama (Raambo) is the Chairperson of the Foreign Affairs Committee, Somaliland House of Representatives, and Member of Parliament for the great region of Maroodijeeh (Hargeisa).

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Shifting Geopolitics and Somaliland’s Move from Recognition Plea to Strategic Bargain: Opportunities for President Cirro’s U.S. Visit.

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President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Cirro’s visit to the United States comes at an unusually consequential moment for Somaliland. The Horn of Africa and Red Sea are becoming more contested, Somaliland’s diplomatic isolation has been partly broken by Israel’s recognition, and sections of Washington are increasingly considering Somaliland through the lens of American strategic interests.

According to the Somaliland Presidency, the visit seeks to strengthen diplomatic relations, security and economic cooperation, attract investment and advance Somaliland’s recognition campaign. More revealing, however, is the language of “strategic cooperation based on mutual interests.”

That phrase captures an important evolution in Somaliland’s diplomacy. For decades, its message was essentially: we have earned recognition through history, stability and democratic self-government. Those arguments remain fundamental, but Cirro increasingly appears to be adding a more pragmatic proposition: engaging and ultimately recognising Somaliland can also advance American strategic interests.

A Changing Horn Creates a Different Opportunity

What was already important geography has increasingly become contested geography. Somaliland’s diplomatic opportunity cannot be separated from the transformation of the Horn of Africa and Red Sea into one of the world’s more competitive strategic spaces.

The region sits astride the Gulf of Aden and Bab al-Mandab, linking the Indian Ocean to the Red Sea and Suez Canal. China operates its first overseas military base in Djibouti alongside a major U.S. military presence; Türkiye has deep political and security ties with Somalia; Egypt has expanded its regional engagement; Ethiopia continues to seek reliable access to the sea; and Gulf states have invested heavily in ports and logistics.

Meanwhile, instability stretching from Yemen and the Houthis to the wider confrontation involving Iran has pushed maritime security higher on U.S. and allied agendas. In this environment, Berbera is no longer simply Somaliland’s principal commercial port but an asset of wider strategic relevance.

DP World has committed up to $442 million to developing Berbera Port and associated infrastructure, including the Berbera Economic Zone. Positioned close to a critical maritime corridor and connected toward Ethiopia and the wider Horn, Berbera gives Somaliland something increasingly valuable in diplomacy: strategic location backed by usable infrastructure.

Yet Somaliland’s proposition rests on more than geography. Since 1991, it has maintained its own government, security institutions, currency, administrative system and electoral processes. The peaceful 2024 transfer of power from President Muse Bihi to opposition candidate Cirro further strengthened its claim to be a relatively stable and predictable political actor in a turbulent region.

Cirro’s opportunity is therefore to convert this combination of contested geography, strategic infrastructure and accumulated political stability into diplomatic leverage.

Somaliland’s Strategic Positioning

Somaliland’s external relationships increasingly reinforce this proposition. The UAE has become its most important commercial partner through DP World and Berbera. With Taiwan, Somaliland has maintained relations despite sustained pressure from Beijing and expanded cooperation into development, technology and maritime security.

Then came Israel. Its recognition of Somaliland on 26 December 2025 fundamentally changed the diplomatic environment. For the first time since 1991, Somaliland had formal recognition from a UN member state and from one of Washington’s closest allies.

These partnerships differ in purpose, but together they allow Somaliland to present itself as a political actor willing to cooperate with states closely connected to Western and American strategic interests.

Cirro therefore arrives in Washington not merely as the leader of an unrecognised territory asking America to revisit history, but representing an entity that controls strategically important infrastructure, hosts substantial Emirati investment, maintains relations with Taiwan and now enjoys formal recognition from Israel.

This is where the idea of a strategic bargain becomes relevant. Somaliland’s historical case remains unchanged: its independence in June 1960, subsequent union with Somalia, collapse of that union, restoration of sovereignty in 1991 and more than three decades of self-government. But history alone has not delivered recognition. The emerging Cirro approach therefore asks a more practical question: what can Somaliland offer the countries whose recognition it seeks?

For Washington, the answer includes Berbera, proximity to Bab al-Mandab, maritime security, counterterrorism cooperation, political stability, commercial opportunities and relationships with the UAE, Taiwan and Israel. Recognition is consequently being reframed from an acknowledgement of Somaliland’s past into part of a possible future strategic partnership. This does not mean exchanging Berbera or sovereignty for recognition. Rather, Somaliland is increasingly presenting recognition and partnership as mutually beneficial.

Washington Is Already Reconsidering Somaliland

Cirro is not introducing this argument into a vacuum. In June 2025, Congressman Scott Perry and colleagues introduced H.R.3992, the Republic of Somaliland Independence Act, proposing formal U.S. recognition. The bill remains legislation rather than policy, but its importance lies in recognition becoming a concrete congressional option.

Senator Ted Cruz subsequently urged President Trump to recognise Somaliland, explicitly framing the case around U.S. national-security interests, including the Gulf of Aden, counterterrorism, Taiwan and Somaliland’s relations with Israel. In July 2026, Cruz also pressed Secretary of State Marco Rubio for a Somaliland-specific travel advisory rather than treating Somaliland and Somalia as having identical security conditions.

The military signal may be even more significant. In November 2025, AFRICOM Commander General Dagvin Anderson met President Cirro and Somaliland security officials before visiting Berbera Port to assess its security environment and operational capacity.

These developments do not mean Washington has decided on recognition. Formal U.S. policy still supports Somalia’s territorial integrity. But they do suggest that Somaliland is increasingly being considered as a distinct policy and strategic question, rather than solely through the prism of Somalia.

Israel could amplify this shift. Its interests in Red Sea security, Yemen and Iran overlap with American concerns, and its recognition has broken a major diplomatic barrier. There is no need to overstate this as a formal Israeli lobbying campaign. The stronger point is simpler: Cirro arrives in Washington with a major U.S. ally having already recognised Somaliland, that changes the context of the discussion.

What Would Success Look Like?

Formal U.S. recognition would be the historic maximum outcome. But making it the only measure of Cirro’s visit would be a mistake. There is a ladder of meaningful outcomes below recognition: senior White House or State Department engagement, stronger congressional support, a Somaliland-specific travel advisory, discussion of a U.S. representative presence in Hargeisa, expanded security cooperation, maritime arrangements involving Berbera, greater American investment and improved financial access.

The most realistic immediate pathway may therefore be de facto bi-lateralisation before de jure recognition. The more Congress, the military, diplomats and businesses engage directly with Hargeisa, the harder it becomes to treat Somaliland merely as a subsidiary issue within Somalia policy. Cirro’s objective should therefore extend beyond securing another sympathetic statement. It should be to institutionalise Somaliland within Washington’s strategic thinking about the Horn and Red Sea.

The Limits of the Strategic Opening

Somaliland should nevertheless avoid premature triumphalism. Somalia will strongly resist any American move toward recognition. Mogadishu retains important security relations with Washington and can draw on Türkiye, Egypt, Arab and Islamic states, and others committed to Somalia’s territorial claims.

The African Union remains cautious, China will oppose greater international legitimacy for a Somaliland closely associated with Taiwan, and Somaliland’s eastern territorial disputes will be used by opponents questioning the extent of Hargeisa’s effective authority. Israel’s recognition is also double-edged: it creates unprecedented diplomatic momentum while potentially intensifying opposition from governments hostile to Israeli policy.

Somaliland is also competing for attention in a Washington consumed by much larger priorities: Iran and Middle Eastern security, Russia’s war against Ukraine, competition with China and the approaching U.S. midterm elections. This may be Cirro’s most immediate external challenge. Somaliland does not merely need to show that its case is legitimate; it must demonstrate that it is relevant to problems Washington already considers important.

There is also an important constraint closer to home: Somaliland’s own institutional and absorptive capacity. Diplomatic openings are only as valuable as a government’s ability to convert them into sustained relationships, agreements and tangible outcomes, which requires competent personnel, clear strategy, strong coordination across government, effective follow-up and continuity beyond presidential visits. If President Cirro does not continue improving the quality and capacity of his government and build institutions capable of sustaining these diplomatic gains the potential of even a favourable geopolitical opening could quickly be limited. Recognition diplomacy, therefore, cannot depend on presidential engagement alone; it must be backed by a capable state apparatus able to carry the strategy forward and deliver on the partnerships Somaliland is seeking.

Changing the Recognition Narrative

For more than three decades, Somaliland has asked the international community to recognise the political reality it built after 1991. Cirro now has an opportunity to demonstrate that this reality also carries strategic value. Somaliland offers relative stability beside a critical maritime corridor, Berbera as a commercial and potentially security-relevant asset, established partnerships with the UAE and Taiwan, recognition by Israel and an expressed willingness to deepen cooperation with the United States.

Its message is therefore evolving from “We deserve recognition” toward “A strategically partnered and ultimately recognised Somaliland can advance shared interests in one of the world’s most contested regions.”

Whether Washington accepts that proposition remains uncertain. But Cirro does not necessarily need to return with recognition for the visit to matter. But if the visit helps a shift Washington’s debate from “Why should we recognise Somaliland?” to “What strategic opportunities are we losing by not engaging Somaliland more directly?”, then Somaliland’s recognition campaign will have entered a different and potentially far more productive phase, and the visit may have achieved something more consequential than a ceremonial diplomatic breakthrough

About the Author

Roble Muse is an independent political and economic analyst, development strategist and policy researcher specialising in economic policy, development and governance in Somaliland and the wider Horn of Africa. He is currently pursuing doctoral research on pastoral economies and climate change, with a particular focus on Somaliland.

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Somaliland’s Delegation is Sending the Wrong Message to Washington

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By Michael Rubin

Before the beginning of the U.S. and Israel war with Iran in December 2025, former Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi was in a strong position. He was popular in both Washington and, more importantly, among Iranians themselves. As regime change appeared imminent, Reza Pahlavi’s anointment once again as heir apparent seemed a sure thing. At the very least, his position atop the aspirants shaping the future of Iran was his alone to lose.

And, yet, through his own mismanagement, inability to be decisive, and unwillingness to take on his own advisors, many of whom acted without skill and nuance, Pahlavi ended up killing his own ambitions. Appearances matter, and Pahlavi convinced not only his detractors but many of his friends that he was not ready for prime time.

Unfortunately, President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi“Irro” appears to follow the same trajectory as he prepares for his first visit to Washington as president.

Somaliland has made great strides toward recognition of its independence over the past decade. Credit is broad and across the partisan spectrum in Somaliland.

What Mogadishu and Somalia’s various lobbyists never understood is that Somaliland’s growing prestige in Washington has nothing to do with money or contracts, but rather its own reality. No amount of lobbyist money can change the fact that Somalia is corrupt, pro-China, and increasingly a vassal of Turkey. Al-Shabaab controls Mogadishu’s functioning more than the federal government. Neither President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, cabinet minister or foreign diplomats can walk three blocks from Villa Somalia and survive without massive security. Somaliland, meanwhile, is democratic, secure, and pro-Western.

Somaliland also has international law and precedent on its side. If the United Arab Republic, Senegambia, and Czechoslovakia can dissolve unpopular federations, why should Somaliland and Somalia not go their separate ways, all the more so since there was no formal ratification of their federation. What hampers the international community today is not law or precedent, but rather ignorance and Turkish, Qatari, Saudi, and Chinese money.

Irro’s personality also works in his favor. He is affable and engaging. In one-on-one meetings in Washington, he should do well.

All this, however, may soon be lost should the Somaliland delegation project a reputation of incompetence and amateurishness.

Success in Washington requires small delegations and a laser focus. Beyond the president, the Somaliland delegation should consist of one or two intelligence professionals, the foreign minister, and one or two defense specialists. To have more than a dozen—almost 20 officials by some accounts—in the delegation suggests a level of amateurishness that will soil Somaliland’s image among the serious policymakers it needs to win over. Part of Somaliland’s case is its efficiency with a limit budget; a 19-man delegation projects an image of South Sudan, not success.

Nor is image the only problem. No senior meeting will occur with more than Irro and one or two other Somaliland officials in the room, which raises the question of why such a large delegation is necessary.

A large delegation is bad enough, but disorganization within it will be worse. Washington seeks serious negotiations over mutual concerns, first and foremost of which is regional insecurity. Somaliland can make its case that it offers a symbiotic solution. For ministers and officials from every portfolio to come suggests a lack of focus and risks a repeat of earlier Somaliland mistakes in which Somaliland officials sought funding prematurely for ad hoc projects that never should have been a priority.

Governance must be about advancing Somaliland’s case, not about winning slots on a government-financed junket. Irro has a choice. He can either advance Somaliland’s case in Washington, or he can assuage clan and political allies in the short term. He should choose wisely. State leadership will require telling clan and political allies no. He must tell close friends and aides to stay home and do their jobs inside Somaliland.

Somaliland needs to trim its delegation to five people. If Somaliland succeeds in upgrading U.S. representation in Hargeisa or Somaliland’s office in Washington, DC, then other cabinet officials can come in future visits.

About the Author

Michael Rubin is director of policy analysis at the Middle East Forum and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

A former Pentagon official, Dr. Rubin has lived in post-revolution Iran, Yemen, and both pre- and postwar Iraq. He also spent time with the Taliban before 9/11. For more than a decade, he taught classes at sea about the Horn of Africa and Middle East conflicts, culture, and terrorism, to deployed US Navy and Marine units.

Dr. Rubin is the author, coauthor, and coeditor of several books exploring diplomacy, Iranian history, Arab culture, Kurdish studies, and Shi’ite politics, including “Seven Pillars: What Really Causes Instability in the Middle East?” (AEI Press, 2019); “Kurdistan Rising” (AEI Press, 2016); “Dancing with the Devil: The Perils of Engaging Rogue Regimes” (Encounter Books, 2014); and “Eternal Iran: Continuity and Chaos” (Palgrave, 2005).

Dr. Rubin has a PhD and an MA in history from Yale University, where he also obtained a BS in biology.

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Somaliland Fights the World for Recognition. A Somali Passport Pipeline in Hargeisa Undercuts It

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KEY POINTS

  • Somali passports are being issued to Somaliland citizens through a Hargeisa pipeline linked to Somalia’s federal system in Mogadishu.
  • Applicants pay $300 to $400, well above Somalia’s official $180 fee.
  • The pipeline has run through three Somaliland administrations, from Silanyo to Bihi to Irro.
  • Named political figures on both sides have facilitated the operation; none has confirmed it.
  • Somaliland’s own identity agency may be helping verify applicants, officials won’t say.
  • Officials call it medical necessity, but sources say most demand is religious pilgrimage.
  • Somaliland rejected Somalia’s e-visa as a sovereignty violation, yet tolerates this.
  • No evidence the government runs it directly, but every administration has let it continue.

For thirty-five years, the Republic of Somaliland has told the world that Somalia has no authority over its citizens. Every day in Hargeisa, in an unmarked office with no sign on the door, that claim is quietly overridden. A citizen’s photograph, fingerprints, and personal details go electronically into Somalia’s federal passport system in Mogadishu. Within days, a Somali passport, stamped with the government’s own coat of arms, flies back to Hargeisa to document the holder as a Somali national, the very status Somaliland says Somalia has no authority to impose.

The price is $300, or $400 expedited. Somalia’s own government lists the ordinary passport fee at $180. Of what’s left, roughly $30 goes to a Hargeisa travel agent as a referral commission, confirmed independently by multiple agents and by sources with direct knowledge. Subtract both from the $300 and roughly $90 remains, an estimate built from the two confirmed numbers rather than a third figure anyone has verified, leaving that amount unexplained. This has continued across at least three changes of government in Hargeisa and at least one in Mogadishu.

Somaliland’s own passport, by comparison, is accepted in roughly a dozen countries: Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, South Africa, the UAE, Taiwan, and, since December 2025, Israel. Somalia’s passport ranks near the very bottom of the 2026 Henley Passport Index, good for visa-free or visa-on-arrival entry to roughly thirty countries worldwide, one of the weakest travel documents on earth. Neither government’s passport is strong. What changes hands in that unmarked office is not strength. It is a UN seat Somalia has never earned on the ground, and one that thirty-five years of functioning Somaliland statehood still hasn’t bought.

That star on the passport’s cover is not neutral in Hargeisa. It marks the tail of the MiG-17 mounted atop this city’s war memorial in Freedom Square, the same Somali Air Force jet that took off from Hargeisa’s own airport to bomb it, crashed during the campaign, and was later dragged back into the center of town as a monument. Between 1987 and 1989, the regime of Siad Barre killed an estimated 200,000 members of the Isaaq clan. Roughly 90 percent of Hargeisa was destroyed; more than 40,000 died within the city limits alone. A 2001 United Nations investigation concluded that the crime of genocide was conceived, planned, and perpetrated by the Somali government against the Isaaq people. Somaliland’s 1991 declaration of independence followed directly from that campaign.

A pattern, not a workaround

One senior Somaliland official, who would not be quoted, did not deny the program exists when asked about it directly. He called it “a necessary disease we must live with,” then asked where else people should go, Mogadishu or Garowe, and spent most of the rest of the conversation trying to talk this publication out of writing about it.

That exchange is the story in miniature. If the government doesn’t run the pipeline, how has it survived three administrations without interruption? If it’s purely private, how does a facilitator get a standing door into a foreign country’s passport system? Asked directly, officials rarely deny it exists. What they offer instead is a decision not to look, and an arrangement this consistent doesn’t survive on ignorance. It survives on choice.

This account rests on multiple sources with direct knowledge, several of whom were directly involved in running the operation at different points, and others among them high-ranking appointees in the current government and officials who served under former presidents Silanyo and Bihi. None would speak on the record.

There is no freedom-of-information law in Somaliland, no functioning mechanism to compel a ministry to release a file, and no real record of officials being held accountable for withholding one. Where a similar investigation elsewhere might rest on a leaked memo or an obtained contract, this one rests on multiple people, independently, describing the same thing from the inside, because official documentation of something like this was never going to be available for the asking.

That caution is easier to read as politics than practicality. In September 2021, Somaliland police intercepted a man at Egal International Airport carrying about 200 shield-tailed agamas, lizards worth up to $500 apiece, bound for Egypt, the first reptile-smuggling case they had handled. The episode illustrates how visible contraband can trigger enforcement at the same airport where, according to sources familiar with the operation, shipments of Somali passports have passed without comparable intervention.

The machinery

The mechanism does not run on improvisation. According to multiple sources with direct, first-hand experience running it, biometric and biographical data goes in electronically, straight into Somalia’s own federal passport and immigration system. Book an appointment. Data goes in. Within days, a finished passport flies back to Hargeisa on a commercial route.

A hidden scanner in a back room describes a small operation a handful of people could run alone, on the margins. What’s described here is a working door into a sovereign government’s identity infrastructure, used routinely to produce that government’s own documents for people it does not administer. That process requires authorized access to Somalia’s federal passport infrastructure. This publication has not independently identified the individual or institution providing that access.

The payment follows its own trail. Caalin Travel Agency, one of several Hargeisa agents identified in this investigation, confirmed the application fee is paid to the agent, not to whoever ultimately processes the passport, in exchange for a receipt and directions to the office that does. One applicant this investigation reached went through the process at a separate agency, Airsoma Travel, paying the standard $300 fee, and provided a redacted copy of the intake form: full name, mother’s name, place of birth, date of birth, occupation, contact number, stamped and signed. One field isn’t left blank. Place of birth is pre-printed, in bold, bigger than everything else on the page: HARGEISA. What came back said something else.

There is a newer requirement, and by multiple accounts a recent one: applicants must now present their Somaliland national identity card, which is photocopied and kept on file. That alone would be unremarkable. According to multiple applicants, if the details an applicant provides differ at all from what’s on their Somaliland ID, the facilitator office in Hargeisa, not Mogadishu, contacts Somaliland’s own national identity agency directly, the body that issued the card in the first place, seeking approval for the discrepancy. Without it, the application proceeds using whatever the Somaliland ID says. That agency sits inside the Ministry of Interior, whose minister was separately asked, in writing and by phone, whether this contact occurs and who authorized it; he has not answered. Somaliland Chronicle has not identified or reached a contact inside the identity agency itself. If accurate, it means an institution Somaliland built to establish its own citizens’ identities is functioning as a verification backstop for the operation that feeds them into the passport system of the government it was built to be separate from.

It wasn’t always this clean. These sources trace the operation back to former president Ahmed Mohamed Silanyo’s administration, describing applicants shuttled car to car through Hargeisa’s streets, biometrics taken inside a Toyota Noah minivan with the engine running. During the presidency of Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo,” the passport’s place-of-issue field stopped reading “Hargeisa” and started reading “Mogadishu,” the result, these sources say, of a direct negotiation by Osman Sh. Mohamed Sh. Isaaq, known as Osman Marehan, then personally close to Farmaajo. Somaliland officials, these sources say, made their cooperation conditional on exactly that change. There is no paper trail for the negotiation itself, but this publication has independently confirmed the outcome: passports issued to Somaliland citizens today list Mogadishu, not Hargeisa, as place of issue. Asked about his alleged role, Marehan declined to comment.

The people behind the machine

Under former president Muse Bihi Abdi, sources with direct knowledge name Hamda Egal as the facilitator: years inside Somali federal political circles, a run at a seat in the Somali parliament. Egal declined to comment.

Under the current administration, the same sources name Khadar Hussein Harir, whose footprint inside Somalia’s federal political system is a matter of public record. In August 2021, he was elected, then re-elected after infighting, chairperson of the Somaliland Interim Election Team, seated under then-Deputy Prime Minister Mahdi Guled. Harir declined to comment.

Neither Egal nor Harir holds any formal position inside the Federal Government of Somalia. Neither is described by any source as its employee. Both moved through Somali federal political life with an ease an ordinary Somaliland citizen does not have, and Osman Marehan, the earlier handler identified above, fits the same pattern. What connects all three, across three administrations, is not a title or a salary. Each was someone who could operate credibly on both sides of the border at once: Egal’s years inside Somali federal circles and her own run for Somali parliament, Harir’s documented chairmanship of a body seated by a sitting Somali Deputy Prime Minister, Marehan’s personal closeness to a sitting Somali president. That dual standing appears to be the qualification the operation required.

Who actually decides?

One former facilitator with direct knowledge, drawing on first-hand experience running the operation, disputes the obvious assumption that handovers track Somaliland’s own elections. Somaliland’s government does not choose the facilitator, this source says. It only permits the arrangement to continue. The real decisions, who controls the Somaliland side and when the handoff happens, are made in Mogadishu. This is not one person’s theory; every source in a position to address the question gave the same account.

The same source describes Harir as “a mere employee” and alleges that Khadar Hussein Looge, Somaliland’s Minister of the Presidency, was directly involved in negotiating the transition from the previous team to the current one. Multiple independent sources have separately pointed to Looge in connection with that handover. This publication cannot rule out that a source who no longer runs the program has reason to direct scrutiny toward whoever replaced them; the allegation has not been independently proven. The Presidency redirected inquiries to the Ministry of Interior. Looge did not respond.

Whoever controls it, one fact does not move: a foreign government’s passport is being issued to citizens of a state that insists that government has no jurisdiction over them, and it has continued for years without incident, comment, or apparent concern from anyone with the power to stop it.

The route it replaced

Before Hargeisa had the quiet, institutional pipeline it has now, Garowe was where most of this business happened. Citizens traveled east into Puntland and got Somali passports directly from Puntland’s own authorities. It wasn’t a backup. Back when the Hargeisa side still meant a Toyota Noah minivan with the engine running, Garowe was the primary channel.

What moved the business to Hargeisa, according to multiple sources, including current and former officials and people who ran the program directly, wasn’t convenience. It was a story, told to three successive presidents, about young women: sending citizens to Garowe or Mogadishu put them at risk of exploitation they wouldn’t face if the same service quietly existed at home. This investigation hasn’t verified that comparison. What it did do is give three governments, who agreed on almost nothing else, the same reason not to look too hard at an operation growing inside their own capital.

The same line still gets used, on anyone who asks. Sources describe it as the default answer: some version of do you want our girls raped in Garowe or Mogadishu? Not an answer so much as a way of ending the question, and it reliably shuts down everything else, who runs it, who profits, why it has lasted this long.

Garowe’s dominance didn’t survive Las Anod on its own terms either. Somaliland and Puntland forces had clashed for years over Sool and Sanaag, but it was Las Anod, escalating in early 2023, that severed the land route outright. By then Garowe was already losing ground to a story that worked. After Las Anod, it lost the rest. Hargeisa wasn’t built as Garowe’s fallback. It earned its tolerance first, on an appeal no president wanted to be the one to reject, and became the only route left once the alternative was gone.

The necessity explanation, and what it may be concealing

Every official interviewed reached for the same defense: the Somaliland passport isn’t widely accepted, leaving citizens no real choice. None engaged with what that framing sidesteps, that the fix for a document the world won’t accept is a document from the government Somaliland says has no claim over it. Every official led with medical travel, not Hajj or Umrah, even though this program’s own handlers describe pilgrimage, not medicine, as the primary use case. Not one official pointed to anything the government has done to change the underlying problem.

Sources with direct knowledge told Somaliland Chronicle that most applicants were not medical cases. They were pilgrims. Multiple sources have corroborated that, though it hasn’t been tested against independent data from travel agents or Hajj operators yet. If it holds, medical necessity is the most sympathetic justification available, and it may not be the one actually driving demand.

Even the Saudi picture is more specific than a flat reading suggests, and less favorable to Somaliland. In 2019, Saudi Arabia’s King personally invited then-President Muse Bihi Abdi to perform Hajj as a state guest; Bihi and his ministers traveled on their own Somaliland diplomatic passports, accepted for that single occasion. It was a head-of-state exception, not an ongoing relationship. This investigation found no indication Saudi Arabia has ever otherwise accepted the Somaliland passport. The Hajj quota itself runs through Somalia, not Somaliland: Riyadh allocates a national quota to the Somali government, and a portion is informally set aside for Somaliland pilgrims through private channels. By every account, those pilgrims travel on Somali passports to use it, which is exactly why Hajj and Umrah demand feeds directly into this same pipeline rather than sitting apart from it. Saudi Arabia has also explicitly rejected Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland since. None of that establishes how Somaliland’s own passport fares at a Saudi border, since almost no one tests it that way.

Israel changes the equation

For most of three decades, Somaliland had a clean argument: no diplomatic alternative existed. On December 26, 2025, Israel became the first UN member state to formally recognize Somaliland. The two governments have exchanged ambassadors and named health cooperation a stated priority.

This publication asked Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs what, if anything, has been done to turn that recognition into a real medical-travel arrangement. The Ministry did not respond. The Presidency redirected the same question to the Ministry of Interior. Beyond the general statement naming health cooperation a priority, this publication found no public record of a specific bilateral health or medical-travel agreement between the two governments. Silence doesn’t prove nothing happened behind closed doors.

Israel already has a track record here. An Israeli medical charity, Save a Child’s Heart, has for two decades brought Somaliland children to Wolfson Medical Center for cardiac surgery, a channel that predates recognition entirely. Israel has named health cooperation a stated priority of its new relationship with Somaliland. Officials have not answered the obvious question that raises: if that channel already exists, why hasn’t it visibly reduced reliance on Somali passports for medical travel to Turkey or India? The accountability question stands exactly where it started.

The sovereignty contradiction

The United States does not recognize Somaliland. It also sends military delegations to Hargeisa on what Somaliland officials describe as a near-monthly basis, has reportedly spent the past year negotiating basing rights at Berbera, and has told Congress Somaliland’s security cooperation is worth taking seriously. Former president Muse Bihi Abdi traveled to the US on his own Somaliland passport; this week, President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi “Irro” was granted a US visa on the same document for a September inaugural visit. Washington calls this pragmatism: engagement without paperwork, tolerance without recognition. Somaliland has demanded exactly that treatment from the world for thirty-five years. It has never extended the same pragmatism back toward Mogadishu, not on the e-visa, not anywhere else it has a choice, with one quiet exception: the Somali passport pipeline running inside its own capital, which this investigation has spent itself describing.

In September 2025, Somalia rolled out a mandatory e-visa for every traveler entering the country. Somaliland refused it outright. President “Irro” delivered the declaration in person, at Somaliland’s Aviation Ministry headquarters next to Egal International Airport, flanked by cabinet ministers including Khadar Hussein Looge, the Minister of the Presidency multiple sources in this investigation allege was directly involved in the handover of the passport pipeline to its current operators, an allegation this publication has not confirmed. No one holding Somalia’s e-visa, Irro said, would be allowed to land on Somaliland soil. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs called it a direct violation of sovereignty. It’s the same airport passport shipments from Mogadishu have arrived through for years, according to sources with direct knowledge. Nobody at the podium mentioned it.

The same airport, according to sources familiar with the operation, has continued to receive the passports on a schedule this investigation has not been able to pin down. Boxes of finished Somali passports from Mogadishu move through the same terminal where Irro and Looge stood declaring Somalia’s paperwork unwelcome, without the fanfare that greeted the e-visa rejection.

If a Somali visa is intolerable, what is a Somali passport, freely issued in Hargeisa with the government’s own knowledge and tolerance?

The leverage nobody has used, yet

Mogadishu is not simply a government with other priorities. For two decades it has been close to the textbook case of a failed state, consistently ranked among the most fragile on earth, and the risk is not abstract: a rapid, Kabul-style collapse to al-Shabaab remains a possibility analysts take seriously, a government that could end in days rather than years. And still, carrying that risk, Somalia runs an open diplomatic campaign to keep Somaliland isolated: lobbying regional governments, rolling out the e-visa, banning Taiwanese passport holders in retaliation for Somaliland’s ties to Taipei. A government that can’t fully secure its own capital has made administratively holding Somaliland hostage a working priority instead. That is not a government with patience to spare for people it doesn’t administer. It is one that has decided this fight matters more.

And yet, across multiple presidents on both sides, it has kept a door open that lets a steady stream of Somaliland citizens be documented by Somalia as Somali nationals, cheaply and with minimal friction. This investigation cannot put a precise number on how many, only that the flow has been continuous across three administrations and shows no sign of slowing.

That’s not generosity. It’s leverage, possibly the single most valuable card Somalia holds. Every citizen who has obtained a passport this way is now functionally dependent on Mogadishu’s continued cooperation. Revoke it, and the disruption lands immediately on however many people have gone through this pipeline over the years, not abstractly on a government in Hargeisa.

Somalia hasn’t exercised that option. It may be the sharpest tool in Mogadishu’s drawer precisely because it stays there, undetonated. A revoked passport creates headlines and a domestic crisis overnight. An always-available one creates dependency instead, and dependency doesn’t need to be used to function as leverage. It only needs to be understood.

There’s a version of this that cuts deeper. Revoking every Somali passport ever issued to a Somaliland citizen in one stroke wouldn’t just create disruption. It would look like Somalia conceding the argument Somaliland has made for thirty-five years, that these were never really its citizens if one decision in Mogadishu could end it.

Continuing to issue does the opposite. A passport system doesn’t discard the records behind the documents it produces, and this one runs on a working line into Somalia’s own federal identity infrastructure, not a scanner in a back room. By its nature, it would generate a record of exactly how many Somaliland citizens have received Somali passports, and who they are, documented, individualized proof of a citizenship relationship Somaliland insists doesn’t exist. That’s not a threat Somalia would need to say out loud. It only needs to be understood. Whether anyone in Mogadishu has thought about it in exactly those terms, this investigation can’t confirm. The pipeline doesn’t need them to have.

Djibouti has run a narrower, documented version of the same play for years, aimed at Somaliland’s political class rather than its ordinary citizens. Canada’s Immigration and Refugee Board found that as far back as 2013, roughly half of Somaliland’s officials at every level held Djiboutian passports, renewed every three years, personally authorized by Djibouti’s president. One Somaliland MP told Somaliland Chronicle he feared losing his own. Foreign Policy magazine called Djibouti a “Friendly Little Dictatorship” with an effective veto over how much of Somaliland’s political class could travel.

That leverage has been exercised, not just held. In December 2025, amid a diplomatic rupture, Djibouti closed its land border with Somaliland and began refusing Somaliland’s own passport at that crossing. Unconfirmed January 2026 reports, sourced only to Mogadishu-aligned outlets, claim Djibouti went further, canceling roughly 1,400 Djiboutian passports held by Somaliland officials. This publication cannot confirm that figure.

Obtaining a Djiboutian passport requires traveling to Djibouti and, by multiple accounts, demonstrating personal loyalty to President Ismail Omar Guelleh. Somalia’s version requires nothing but an appointment and a fee, inside Hargeisa. Djibouti’s leverage runs through proximity to one man. Somalia’s, if this reporting holds, runs through a bureaucratic pipeline that scales.

What role, if any, does the government play?

Nothing in this reporting establishes that Somaliland’s government administers this system. What multiple sources describe instead is tolerance: silent, unbroken, running across administrations that agree on almost nothing else.

Tolerance is not neutrality. Every Somaliland citizen who comes out of that unmarked office with a Somali passport is, at that moment, filed as exactly what Mogadishu has insisted all along Somalilanders still are: citizens of Somalia. If the facilitator office really does contact Somaliland’s own identity agency to verify applicant details, that entanglement runs deeper than a shared record: an institution Somaliland built to assert its own citizens’ identities, functioning as a verification arm for the operation that feeds them into the passport system of the government it was built to be separate from. A government doesn’t have to intend that outcome to produce it. It only has to keep looking away, three administrations running.

The passport as a test of statehood

Somaliland is the state that, on the ground, actually functions. Somalia is the paperwork that has strangled it administratively. This pipeline is not a clever workaround. It is the visible proof of that imbalance.

For the first time, a country, Israel, has said Somaliland’s own passport deserves recognition. At the same moment, Somaliland’s own government has, at minimum, tolerated a system that lets its citizens route around the very document it is fighting the world to recognize, handing Mogadishu fresh proof of the one claim Somaliland says is no longer true.

Necessity can explain why a workaround begins.

It does not, by itself, explain why a workaround becomes an institution.


Response

This publication sought comment from Osman Sh. Mohamed Sh. Isaaq (Osman Marehan), Hamda Egal and Khadar Hussein Harir. All three have declined to comment.

Minister Khadar Hussein Looge did not respond. The Presidency, asked the same questions, redirected inquiries to the Ministry of Interior. This publication was unable to independently corroborate the underlying allegation of his involvement or extent of it.

Written questions went to Minister of Interior Abdalle Mohamed Arab (Sandheere) and Chief of Police Major General Abdirahman Abdillahi Hassan (Abdi Dheere). Neither the written questions nor follow-up calls to either official have been answered. In addition, we sought comment from Somaliland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The Ministry did not respond.

Some individuals interviewed for this story spoke on condition of anonymity, citing the sensitivity of the subject matter.

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Notice: This is an article by Somaliland Chronicle. It is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. Under this license, all reprints and non-commercial distribution of this work is permitted.

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Somaliland President Orders 15 Dialysis Machines Amid Hospital Scandal — No Officials Sanctioned

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HARGEISA — The President of the Republic of Somaliland, Abdirahman M Abdillahi “Irro” has ordered the urgent procurement of fifteen new dialysis machines and pledged to eliminate all remaining out-of-pocket costs for dialysis patients, according to a statement issued by the Presidency, in the most concrete response yet to a public backlash over conditions at Hargeisa Group Hospital’s kidney unit.

The statement, signed by presidential spokesman Hussein Aadan Cige “Deyr,” followed a visit by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdillahi “Irro” to the hospital’s dialysis department, where he met with hospital administration, health workers, and patients. It lays out three measures: free supplies, fifteen new machines, and a nationwide technical assessment.

Free supplies and new machines

Dialysis treatment itself was already free; the government has now ordered that the small remaining fees patients paid for medications and consumables tied to dialysis — needles, filters, and similar items — be eliminated as well. Separately, the Presidency ordered the “urgent” purchase of fifteen dialysis machines, intended to expand the unit’s capacity, reduce strain on the equipment currently in use, and ensure more patients can be treated at appropriate times.

A nationwide technical review

The most far-reaching measure in the statement is the dispatch of a technical committee to conduct a full assessment not just of Hargeisa Group Hospital but of regional hospitals nationwide. Its mandate covers treatment services, administration and management systems, medical equipment, infrastructure, and patient care, with dialysis units specifically named among the areas under review. The committee is expected to report back to the President with both immediate and long-term recommendations.

That mandate is broad enough to reach the two officials at the center of the controversy: Health Minister Hussein Bashir Hirsi and Ministry Director-General Ahmed Mahamoud Jama, whose handling of the crisis and the hospital’s separate MRI procurement are matters of administration and management within the committee’s stated scope. Whether the review’s findings translate into personnel consequences, or stop at equipment and infrastructure, is likely to determine how this episode is ultimately judged.

The Presidency’s statement reiterated that the government is “committed to the growth and development of the country’s hospitals” within its financial means.

No mention of accountability

The statement does not address whether any official will face consequences over the episode. This publication’s earlier reporting on the crisis — “A Government of Fake Doctors, Real Patients — and a President Who Brought Cameras, Not Answers” — documented that Health Minister Hussein Bashir Hirsi, who publicly accused protesting patients of serving a foreign agenda, does not appear to hold a physician’s license in the U.S. state where he is credentialed, according to a search of the Georgia Composite Medical Board’s public verification system. That reporting also found that the Ministry’s Director-General, Ahmed Mahamoud Jama, told a reporter that MRI machines emit dangerous radiation when asked to explain why a $400,000 MRI purchased by the hospital remains at the seller’s premises — a claim that conflicts with established medical science.

Neither official is mentioned in the Presidency’s new statement, and nothing in it or the government’s earlier public remarks on the visit indicates that either man, or any hospital official beyond the dialysis unit’s head, already replaced, has been dismissed or disciplined.

The fifteen machines and the free-supplies order would, if delivered, address the core complaints raised by protesting patients and by an unverified but detailed social-media account from a self-described former hospital staffer, both of which described patients receiving roughly half the dialysis time recommended by standard medical practice. Whether the technical committee’s review amounts to reform, or to another entry in what this publication’s earlier reporting described as a pattern of crisis management through spending pledges and photo opportunities, will depend on what it finds — and what the government does with it.

This publication sent written questions to the Ministry of Health Development for this story; it had not received a response by the time of publication.

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Somalia Inaugurates Military Facility in Las Anod, Drawing Formal Protest From Somaliland

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Somalia’s prime minister, Hamza Abdi Barre, inaugurated a Somali National Army facility in Las Anod on August 2, the clearest attempt yet by Mogadishu to project federal authority into territory Somaliland claims as its own. Hargeisa condemned the visit as a violation of its sovereignty. In a statement issued by Somaliland’s Ministry of Information and National Guidance, the government called it a “hurin colaadeed,” a spark for conflict, and said it would pursue “all necessary legal and national measures” in response, urging the African Union, IGAD, and the UN to oppose the move.

It was Barre’s third visit to Las Anod since April 2025. The earlier trips laid foundation stones for development projects and helped broker prisoner exchanges. Federal officials have not disclosed the size, purpose, or staffing of the August 2 facility. Whether it represents a newly established SNA garrison or the formal integration of existing SSC-Khatumo forces into the federal military remains unclear.

Somaliland lost control of Las Anod in early 2023 after months of fighting with clan militias that later aligned themselves with the SSC-Khatumo administration backed by Mogadishu. The visit follows a wave of defections that has unsettled the administration Mogadishu helped establish in Las Anod. On July 30, three days before Barre arrived, four MPs from the Northeastern State parliament resigned and were received in Hargeisa, publicly renouncing “Somaliweyn” and re-pledging allegiance to Somaliland. Among them were figures who had backed the 2023 uprising against Somaliland. Barre’s visit comes as some of the politicians who once supported that uprising have begun publicly returning to Hargeisa.

The August 2 visit also comes seven months after Israel formally recognized Somaliland on December 27, 2025, a move Mogadishu has denounced as an attack on its sovereignty. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud told an emergency joint session of parliament the following day that the recognition amounted to a “naked invasion,” and lawmakers passed a resolution declaring it null and void and warning that violators of Somalia’s sovereignty would face legal consequences. Mohamud has since called the move a threat to regional security, alleged Israel was seeking a military foothold near the Gulf of Aden, and claimed Somaliland agreed to host displaced Palestinians in exchange for recognition, a claim Hargeisa denies. Barre has separately accused President Irro’s inner circle of concealing contacts with Israel.

The inauguration also comes two days after Gen. Dagvin Anderson, the head of U.S. Africa Command, said in Mogadishu on July 31 that continued U.S. engagement in Somalia would become increasingly difficult to sustain. Anderson said the U.S. has “not turned its back” on Somalia, but acknowledged that voices “in Washington and other parts of the country” are asking when Somalia will take over its own security, and said sustained political dysfunction would make it “very hard for us to continue to stay engaged.” He contrasted that instability with battlefield setbacks, noting that territory the U.S.-trained Danab commando force had previously cleared in Lower Shabelle has fallen back under al-Shabaab control and is being retaken a second time.

That warning lands against a broader funding retreat. Washington told the African Union on July 1 that it will not continue funding AUSSOM’s UN-backed logistics support past December 31, citing Mogadishu’s failure to take ownership of its own security functions. The mission’s budget has already been cut by 25 percent, and UN officials have discussed closing the Mogadishu logistics office by year’s end, ending the AU’s role three years earlier than planned. Al-Shabaab has continued to hold ground in the south in the meantime, with checkpoints still ringing Mogadishu’s outskirts.

A day later, on August 1, Maj. Gen. Claude K. Tudor Jr., commander of U.S. Special Operations Command Africa, met President Irro in Hargeisa to discuss Red Sea and Gulf of Aden security, with Irro’s office describing the talks as strategic and both sides voicing interest in deeper defense cooperation. The optics shouldn’t be overstated, though: Tudor’s stop in Hargeisa was one leg of a wider regional tour that also took him through Jubaland and Puntland, both of which are federal member states of Somalia, and the visit doesn’t amount to a change in U.S. policy toward Somaliland’s recognition.

The August 2 condemnation also marks a shift in tone for President Irro’s administration. During the 2023 conflict, Waddani leaders argued the uprising stemmed largely from domestic grievances rather than external interference. Since taking office, the Irro administration has increasingly characterized the conflict as fueled by proxy actors backed by Mogadishu, while continuing to prioritize dialogue and prisoner exchanges over any military response of its own.

The August 2 inauguration marks a shift from symbolic visits to institutional presence. Whether Mogadishu can sustain that presence, militarily, politically, and financially, remains an open question. U.S. officials say Danab units have been forced to recapture previously secured territory in Lower Shabelle, al-Shabaab remains active around Mogadishu, and international funding for the country’s security architecture is expected to decline sharply after December.

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